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The GUR has confirmed that Russia intends to divide Ukraine into three parts.

The Deputy Head of the Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR), Vadym Skibitsky, shared this information in a comment to the Interfax-Ukraine agency.

According to him, the Russian Ministry of Defense and the General Staff prepared this document around December 2023.

The HUR representative confirmed that the document outlines the division of Ukraine, which anticipates the establishment of a pro-Russian government in Kyiv or a mandatory "neutral" stance, meaning the country would not join NATO.

"This is all an analysis and assessment by the Russians. We see how quickly they can change their plans depending on successes, the reactions of the international community, and the evolution of the situation," Skibitsky explained.

Some elements of this document were mentioned by HUR chief Kyrylo Budanov earlier this year at the YES meeting, Skibitsky added. In particular, he recalled Budanov stating that Russia would try to "resolve" the issue of Ukraine by 2026, which is "documented in the Russian paper."

What preceded this?

On November 20, the Interfax-Ukraine news agency, citing sources within Ukrainian intelligence, reported that Russia might attempt to convey to the United States, through representatives of foreign states, a plan to divide Ukraine's territory into three parts.

One of the parts that the Russians want to claim entirely includes the Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions, as well as the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.

The second part, referred to in the Russian document as a "pro-Russian state formation," encompasses Kyiv, the northern, central, and southern regions of Ukraine.

The western regions of Ukraine have been labeled "disputed territories" by the Kremlin. Their future could be determined through negotiations between Russia and other neighboring countries — Hungary, Poland, and Romania, as reported by Interfax-Ukraine.